Obama is not likely to win another election according to recent studies. Voters are doubtful about the economy and its’ future, which may impact  President Obama’s relection in 2012.

Democrats are hopeful there will be a change in the next year to make Obama a two-term president. However, events that could help him, such as the assassination of Osama Bin Laden, seem to have been put on the back burner. Negative topics such as the economy are still in the spotlight.

Unemployment is at 9.2 per cent throughout the country, and it is a fundamental issue on many voters’ minds. President Obama may have a tough time gaining support unless something positive happens within the next year. The overall support throughout the country does not look promising for the president and certainly won’t be enough to get him reelected.

A recent study by Harris Poll found that 42 per cent to 52 per cent of the public say they are unlikely to vote for President Obama and only 35 per cent think he will be reelected.

President Obama also faces tough competition against leading GOP presidential candidates who are running for election in 2012, including Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Ron Paul, and Rick Perry, who have made the economy their central focus in their campaigns.

In regards to President Obama’s handling of the economy Romney said, “When you see what this president has done to the economy in just three years, you know why America doesn’t want to find out what he can do in eight.” It is hard for voters to resist candidates who promise job creation and a better economy.

Security, which was recorded in a recent poll conducted by Barna Group, was also a top priority in the public that would influence which candidate to vote for in 2012. Security is something President Obama has proven he can provide for Americans. The victory of Osama Bin Laden’s death during his presidency could carry some substantial weight.

President Obama’s approval rating went up ten percent to 57 per cent the month after the assassination of Osama Bin Laden. His overall handling of foreign policy issues has also helped his rating. This could help Obama substantially, such as when Sadam Hussein was captured under the Bush administration.

President Bush was able to draw out his support through his second term and got reelected in 2004 because of this event; much like this could help Obama in his reelection.

Another aspect that is beneficial for the President is his promise to withdraw 30,000 troops from Afghanistan by 2012, which could help his campaign from supporters against the war. Other candidates running in the election are still making promises that voters are willing to take their chances on unless President Obama make some moves in the upcoming year.

With many odds working against President Obama, we will have to wait and see if he will have another four years in office, or if voters will look for someone who yet again can promise “change.”

Jose Gil / Shutterstock.com

Share This

• 
• 
• 
• 
• 
• 
• 
• 
• 
• 
• 

About the author

Samantha Steinberg
A Junior at Rutgers University studying political science and communication. Interests include writing, international affairs, and travel. I hope to make a difference in the world and raise awareness through my writing.

Related Posts

States Petition to Withdraw From the U.S.

The historical election night is long over and the cloud hangs of numerous petitions, signed by 39 states, to secede from the United States. In the wake of the re-election of U.S. President Barack Obama there have been...

Execuforce: 3D Game to Aid President Obama’s Campaign

Towson, U.S.A. -- Exis Interactive, a Maryland based game development company has released “Execuforce” a satirical 3d game for campaign and charity fundraising. A portion of the proceeds will be donated to the Obama...

Balancing Budgets and Reducing Deficit Talks at the GOP Convention

On Tuesday at the GOP convention, the "America's Got Talent" 2012 winner, Neal Boyd, sang Lee Greenwood's "God Bless the U.S.A.," and the crowd got very excited: suddenly shouts repeating "U.S.A., U.S.A., U.S.A.," were heard...

1 Comment for Are All Odds Against Obama in 2012?

Steve Johnson

The polls and the odds have a fundamental conflict. I think it’s because pollsters like to use the best turnout results from the last electtion.. Those results color the forecasts with a historic bias. How can anyone correct for historical high turnout levels? They can’t. Well, not without a crystal ball. So 2012 polls are biased by the past. Obama polls run hot because of that. Romney voters probably won’t poll hot for the same kinds of reasons. So, Obama polls are better than expected…that would be another example of the power of incumbency. I don’t think odds makers work that way.

Reply