Astronomers part of the international collaboration Probing Lensing Anomalies NETwork (PLANET) calculated the approximate number of planets based on statistical analyses from multiple surveys gathered from observatories, institutions, and ground-based telescopes, including NASA’s spacecraft Kepler, the European Southern Observatory (ESO), the Niels Bohr Institute, the Optical Gravitational Lensing Experiment (OGLE), and the Microlensing Observations in Astrophysics (MOA).

PLANET has taken 16 years to find planets, and six to make a statistical hypothesis (from 2002 to 2007). It is estimated that there are at least 100 billion stars in the Milky Way and that each one has 1.6 planets in orbit on average, coming to a total of 160 billion hypothetical planets. This number is much, much higher than the number originally predicted.

Astronomers use three methods to search for planets. The first one is called transiting, in which one observes a stars’ level of brightness. If the level slightly drops, the dip acts as a signal that a planet is crossing the star during its orbit. The second method is the radial-velocity method. When planets orbit a star, the star does not remain stationary.

Rather, it moves in a small circular motion, causing the planet’s gravitational pull. Lastly, the third method is gravitational microlensing. In relation to an observer on Earth, two stars, one in front of the other, seem to form a straight line. The foreground star causes light from the background star to curve, thus magnifying the latter. If there is a slight temporary difference in the light curve from the foreground star, a planet is orbiting the star.

With the former two methods, astronomers can only find low-mass planets closely orbiting stars. They are what the Kepler spacecraft uses to hunt for planets. The third one, on the other hand, is more sensitive: astronomers can find planets of all sizes (from Mercury-sized to Jupiter-sized) and those that are near and far from their parent stars. In addition, planets’ masses can be determined.

“Together,” Uffe Gråe Jørgensen states in the Niels Bohr Institute press release, “the three methods are, for the first time, able to say something about how common our own solar system is.” Jørgensen is the head of the Astrophysics and Planetary Science research group at the Niels Bohr Institute at the University of Copenhagen.

Based on the collected data, astronomers predict that Earth-like planets (small and rocky) are much more common in the galaxy than gas giants like Jupiter. According to Stephen Kane – who is a part of NASA’s Exoplanet Science Institute at the California Institute of Technology in Pasadena, California – in the HubbleSite press release, “This is encouraging news for investigations into habitable planets.”

Ultimately, this new hypothesis significantly increases the probability of the existence of extraterrestrial life, even sentient life.

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About the author

Sarah Hansen
Sarah is currently earning her M.F.A. in Creative Nonfiction at Sarah Lawrence College. She has an avid interest in the sciences, particularly astronomy, and hopes to one day publish works of fiction, poetry, and creative nonfiction.

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