Imagine a group of people being stranded amidst deep amazon forests with nothing to eat except insects and lizards, with nothing to cover their heads, being tugged out into the wilderness of discomfort and agitation. After days of extensive and tireless operations, rescue officers ultimately landed with loads of food and all the amenities they can offer. But there was a tragic turnaround: rescue officers decided not to take the stranded people out of the claws of death; on the contrary, they agreed to continue their operations as long as they can.

This is what Greece is going through. Over the year of crisis, it has been observed that whatever the assistance mechanism (in terms of bailouts and loans) designed and amended so far contributed more towards fiscal chaos and debasement of the economy, affecting the lives of millions of people and its image as a whole.

Assistance extended so far allowed Greek government to spend,  since the engine of the economy has bottomed-out and domestic resources dried away.

Bailouts and loans just sway a nation back and forth in ravines of debt and despair. Bailouts may help a worn-out engine run, but it can’t help reduce deficits. It is very uncommon to witness that after years of crisis, authorities failed to restructure deficits, failed to frame rules concerning public expenditure, failed to eradicate to fiscal illness, and failed to bridge the fiscal gap and move on.

For example, how far have measures taken to stabilize Argentina debt crisis been successful? Ten years after the Argentinean sovereign debt default, the world seems to have ignored or fizzle out lessens learned in South America. Even today, after a decade of financial fall-out, litigation are continuing; debtors are still hopeful that one day they might get their money back.

On the other hand, austerity measures help curtail expenditure. They assist in lowering the possibility of the further accumulation of debt, but in no sense do austerity measures help reduce previously accumulated debt. This is where action by the International Monetary Fund and European Central Bank turns folly.

A system has to be put in place that brings public expenditure under an axis of regulation, under the barricades of the financial capability of a nation to spend, rather than printing stacks of money to purchase government bonds. Institutions aiding financially are just acting like a cushion, instigating or backing-up nations to carry on reckless spending patterns no what matter whether they can withstand the debt burden or not!

Institutions that promote spending cuts followed by hybrid doses of bailouts partly shift responsibility back to themselves from a debt-laden nation, and continue the legacy of fiscal fallacy.

Legal framework on a systematic platform has to be implemented at a global level, so that in the future we live in a debt free world, a world where fiscal discipline matters and budget surpluses are a reality for all. At least in the case of Europe, a fiscal institution has to overlook the fiscal affairs of all the member nations, capping public spending based on the country’s own financial health and current debt.

The situation where Greece is currently dwelling is very close to people stranded in Amazon forest. What is needed is effective fiscal management. International institutions can play a much bigger role with technical guidance on budget management and by discounting policies that hardly bring any substantial change.

The need of the hour is to lift people away from the woods, not to let them survive being the weakest!

Image Courtesy of   Ververidis Vasilis / Shutterstock.com

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The most faltering and tragic questions of the 21st century is how to manage the fiscal system of a country regardless of their level of economic growth. Leaders, politicians, lawmakers and ordinary citizens are deeply baffled and greatly offended by the scale of the problem in their domestic economy, and in the recent global economy.

The economy was still in its sick bed in late 2009 when the Greek government spilled the truth about their official figures being misrepresented for years. The most pronounced effect of the horrific level of public debt has been had the outcome of the unpopular austerity measures.

The unprecedented action to curtail and mitigate the dangerously high proportion of debt failed to bring in the amount of hope that the measures were designed for. Attempts to subsidize or fend-off the crisis were made by the European Commission, the IMF and the European central bank by setting-up a tripartite committee to prepare appropriate programs and economic policies.

A loan agreement was reached between Greece and the other Euro zone members, with an agreement settling on a total of 110 billion €. Greece, being member of the Euro zone, it cannot unilaterally stimulate the economy by expanding monetary policy. According to Vicky Pryce, senior director of economics at FTI, “we will see a haircut on Greek bonds, a recapitalization program of banks and increase in the size of the bailout”

Ultimately, nations under the hammer of fiscal congestion and monetary impossibilities will have fewer possibilities of revitalize the sluggish economy in order to gradually subside the debt debacles. President Obama said when German Chancellor Angela Merkel Visited the US, that “European Debt Crisis must be brought under control predicting disastrous results if there is an uncontrolled spiral and default in Europe”

According to the German Finance minister, Wolfgang Schauble, creditors holding soon-to-mature Greek bonds would need new bonds on similar terms that are payable for several years. But this plan doesn’t release Greece from the shackles of their staggering debt — it only shifts the burden to future generations, providing a short-term relief.

In another plan which has been accepted by the European Central Bank, a ‘no bond exchange’ requires that private creditors can cash in on maturity and be encouraged to re-lend some of their money. This plan is only viable if private creditors believe that re-lending to the government won’t put them back to previous risk levels.

Even so, Greece is not out of the woods completely, since it will also require paying interest with principal for those bonds. Some economists have echoed the option of Greece leaving the Euro zone. Greece has some good reason to leave the Euro zone. If it can devalue its currency, Greek exports will rise and provide a cushion for economic activity and bring in cash.

But it might push the inability of other members of the Euro zone to rescue a financially unstable member country and may endanger the whole financial system of the region.

If Greece withdraws itself from the Euro zone, the confidence in Europe would be tarnished, inviting catastrophic consequences to other debt laden nations like Portugal, Italy, and Ireland. Nevertheless, debt restructuring and beyond could be a possibility now the ECB has granted permission for exposed countries to have unilateral monetary policy.

 
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